Don't Be So Sure

A Sullivan reader disagrees with Andrew's assessment of the danger of Palin:

She is drawing only the Bushites' adoration. They are the ones that feel she is the future of the party, America and perhaps even God himself. They are a small contingency in a shallow pool. For God's sake they still think Bush was a great
President!

But here are the latest Gallup poll figures on Obama compared to last year at this time:

Jan 2010 Jan 2009
Approve 50% 68%
Disapprove 42% 12%

What this tells me is that Obama's unfavorables, which have increased 350% in the past year, could push more and more toward the right. If there is no alternative other than the GOP, then whoever they field will benefit in 2012. If the GOP experiences the schism that I predict will happen, indies might be able to avoid the GOP and keep Palin at bay. Either way, it doesn't look good for Dems.